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IsadoreNabi/README.md

"Con la rebelión nace la conciencia." — Albert Camus

José Mauricio Gómez Julián

Economist and data scientist. I work on Bayesian statistics, time series and econometrics, and on the philosophy of science and political economy that frame them. Author and sole maintainer of 12 R packages on CRAN.

ORCID 0009-0000-2412-3150 · marxistphilosophyofscience.com · isadore.nabi@pm.me

Research lines

  • Bayesian hierarchical modelling — structure learning and variable selection in graphical models; geometry-adaptive sampling.
  • Time series and regime change — state-space reconstruction, changepoint detection, dynamic factor models.
  • Econometrics of value and prices — empirical construction of labour values and production prices without simultaneist assumptions.
  • Philosophy of science — probability, dialectics and the foundations of statistical inference.

R packages on CRAN

All twelve are single-authored and single-maintained.

Package Version What it does
gdpar 0.1.0 Generalized distributional parameter regression: hierarchical additive models with per-parameter predictors, fitted with Stan
bivarhr 0.1.6 Bivariate hurdle negative-binomial models with dynamic Bayesian networks and hidden Markov regimes
EmpiricalDynamics 0.1.9 Empirical dynamic modelling: state-space reconstruction and convergent cross mapping for nonlinear time series
bayesianOU 0.2.0 Hierarchical Bayesian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models for mean-reverting processes
BayesianDisaggregation 0.2.1 Bayesian economic data disaggregation with multiple posterior estimation methods
convergenceDFM 0.3.2 Dynamic factor models for convergence analysis
HTDV 0.2.0 Hypothesis testing for imbalanced and heteroscedastic designs
RegimeChange 0.1.1 Regime-change detection in time series, benchmarked against changepoint, ruptures and Kats
SignalY 1.1.1 Signal extraction and decomposition for noisy economic and environmental series
topologyR 0.3.0 Topological data analysis: persistent homology and simplicial complexes in R
valueprhr 0.1.0 Empirical construction of labour values and production prices without simultaneist assumptions
EconCausal 1.0.2 Causal direction between pairs of economic variables: ECM with MARS nonlinearity, BSTS and Bayesian GLM with AR(1)

Each package has a permanent identifier of the form 10.32614/CRAN.package.<name> and full technical documentation deposited on Zenodo.

Installation

install.packages("gdpar")   # any of the twelve, from CRAN

Development versions are also served from r-universe.

Usage. 3 294 downloads in the last month across the twelve packages, none below 170 (source: cranlogs, Posit mirror, July 2026). This is a lower bound: the Posit mirror is one of several.

Selected publications

Preprints and working papers

  • Quantitative Theory of Money or Prices? A Historical, Theoretical, and Econometric Analysis, 2025. arXiv:2501.14623
  • Sectorial Exclusion Criteria in the Marxist Analysis of the Average Rate of Profit: The United States Case (1960-2020), 2025. arXiv:2501.06270
  • The Ancient Judeans of Judea as Direct Ancestors of Contemporary Palestinians: Archaeological, Paleogenomic, Historiographical, and Linguistic Evidence against the Exile Narrative and the "Return", SSRN, 2026. 10.2139/ssrn.6588078
  • Algunas reflexiones sobre los precios de producción de Marx: historicidad de la ley del valor, fundamento dialéctico-materialista y formalización dinámica bajo incertidumbre, 2026. 10.5281/zenodo.21842103
  • Bitopological Spaces from Directed Graphs: Extending the Nada Construction to Capture Temporal Irreversibility — reproducibility and formalization bundle, 2026. 10.5281/zenodo.19652888

Peer-reviewed

  • Production versus circulation: An empirical investigation of causal relationships in the U.S. economy, Capital & Class, 2026. 10.1177/03098168261468189
  • Más allá de la curva de Phillips: inflación, cambio tecnológico y acumulación de plusvalía en las economías capitalistas contemporáneas, Realidad Económica, 2025.
  • Teorías del comercio internacional versus resultados de los tratados comerciales: ¿ventaja absoluta o comparativa?, Revista Cubana de Economía Internacional, 2025.
  • Sobre la validez del supuesto de uniformidad en las tasas de plusvalía sectorial desde la teoría de las probabilidades, Ciencia Económica, 2022.
  • Sobre la dialéctica inmanente en la metamorfosis mercantil, Revista de Filosofía de la Universidad de Costa Rica, 2017.

Thesis

  • General Theory of the Cycles of the Dynamics of the Capitalist System in the Long Run, 2026. 10.5281/zenodo.22100681

Full record on ORCID: 40 works — 12 software, 11 preprints, 9 journal articles, 3 datasets, 2 theses, 2 online resources, 1 book.

Pinned Loading

  1. BayesianDisaggregation BayesianDisaggregation Public

    An R package for Bayesian economic data disaggregation with multiple posterior estimation methods and comprehensive evaluation metrics. Implements weighted, multiplicative, Dirichlet conjugate, and…

    R 1

  2. EconCausal EconCausal Public

    R package for analysis templates: ECM with MARS nonlinearity, Bayesian Structural Time Series, and Bayesian GLM with AR(1). Designed to determine causal direction between pairs of economic variable…

    R 1

  3. topologyR topologyR Public

    Topological data analysis: persistent homology and simplicial complexes in R

    R

  4. bayesianOU bayesianOU Public

    Hierarchical Bayesian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models for mean-reverting processes

    R

  5. bivarhr bivarhr Public

    Bivariate hurdle negative-binomial models with dynamic Bayesian networks and hidden Markov regimes

    R

  6. EmpiricalDynamics EmpiricalDynamics Public

    Empirical dynamic modelling: state-space reconstruction and convergent cross mapping for nonlinear time series

    R