Add MI under-age-1 reproducer for state dataset undercount (#135)#136
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DTrim99 wants to merge 3 commits into
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Add MI under-age-1 reproducer for state dataset undercount (#135)#136DTrim99 wants to merge 3 commits into
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Three reform variants analyzing CTC and EITC changes: - Reform 1: CTC $3,600-$4,440 (2026-2035) - Reform 2: CTC $3,000-$3,600 (2026-2035) - Reform 3: CTC $2,700-$3,300 (2026-2035) Each notebook includes: - Comprehensive 2026 impact analysis (poverty, deciles, winners/losers) - 10-year federal budgetary projections - CSV exports for both 2026 impacts and 10-year projections Closes PolicyEngine#125 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Demonstrates the state-specific MI.h5 dataset undercounts Michigan population by ~59% relative to the national dataset filtered by state_code. See PolicyEngine#135 for the systemic state-dataset issue. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Thanks @DTrim99 — adopted onto an org branch and merged as #137 with your reproducer commit and authorship preserved. Two changes from this PR: (1) the ~8.4k lines of unrelated |
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…0) (#137) * Add MI under-age-1 reproducer comparing state vs national datasets Demonstrates the state-specific MI.h5 dataset undercounts Michigan population by ~59% relative to the national dataset filtered by state_code. See #135 for the systemic state-dataset issue. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> * Add status addendum: #135 undercount fixed upstream; under-1 gap moved to populace#520 Re-executed 2026-07-23 with policyengine-us 1.782.0: states/MI.h5 (replaced in the us-data 1.115.4-patch promotion, 2026-05-20) now totals 10,119,131, matching Census. The national default (pinned populace_us_2024 release) puts MI under-1 at 40,204 vs ~104K MDHHS births, with CA at 21.7% of US infants - filed as populace#520. As-filed outputs preserved in #135/#136. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> --------- Co-authored-by: David Trimmer <david@policyengine.org> Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Summary
us/poverty/michigan_under_age_1.ipynb— a minimal reproducer for the state-dataset population undercount documented in State-specific .h5 datasets undercount population by 30-65% #135.MI.h5dataset and the national dataset filtered to MI viastate_code.Test plan
policyengine_usand produces the comparison table.