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fernandoverdugo/README.md

Fernando Verdugo

I build data and AI projects focused on public programs, policy, operations, and decision support.

My background in public-service program administration and regulatory work informs the questions I choose to analyze: how programs perform, where access gaps exist, how policy changes can be evaluated, how limited resources can be allocated, and how data systems can make complex information easier to use.

My portfolio combines SQL, Python, statistical analysis, machine learning, causal inference, forecasting, geospatial analytics, optimization, and applied AI.

Featured Work

SQL & Operational Analytics

Service Operations SQL Analytics
Relational SQL analysis of simulated public-service operations covering referrals, cases, appointments, service delivery, conversion funnels, SLAs, cohorts, repeat utilization, and management KPIs.

Live dashboard

Public Program Compliance Monitoring & Risk Analytics
SQL and Python compliance-monitoring system for a simulated regulated program, combining provider scorecards, corrective-action monitoring, exception detection, temporal risk modeling, and review-capacity analysis.

Policy & Program Evaluation

Medicaid Unwinding & Healthcare Access
State-level causal policy evaluation using CMS and Census data, continuous-exposure difference-in-differences, event-study diagnostics, clustered inference, placebo testing, and robustness analysis.

Live policy dashboard

SIPP Economic Stability & Poverty Transitions
Longitudinal Census analysis measuring poverty entry and exit using SIPP panel data, replicate-weight inference, household-linked observations, and prospective modeling.

NHIS Healthcare Access Analysis
National analysis of cost-related delayed medical care using complex-survey inference, multiple imputation, predictive modeling, calibration, and subgroup diagnostics.

Forecasting & Decision Support

NYC 311 Service Demand Forecasting
Time-series forecasting of more than 16 million NYC 311 requests using rolling-origin validation, statistical and machine-learning benchmarks, uncertainty analysis, and workload planning.

Live dashboard

Refugee Resettlement Capacity & Resource Planning
Forecasting and optimization platform for refugee-arrival demand, staffing capacity, service coverage, constrained resource allocation, and scenario planning.

Live planner

Geospatial Analytics

Texas Refugee Service Access Atlas
Geospatial and transit-network analysis of access to refugee-relevant services across Dallas and Tarrant Counties using Census data, GTFS schedules, routing, service-gap analysis, and facility-location optimization.

Live atlas

Texas Refugee Medical Assistance — Longitudinal Geospatial Analysis
Six-year synthetic longitudinal analysis of program enrollment, geographic expansion, demographic composition, persistence, and concentration across Texas ZIP codes.

Live map

Texas Afghan Support Program — Geospatial Analytics
Interactive synthetic program analytics examining participation, financial assistance, engagement, concentration, and monthly change across five Texas metropolitan areas.

Live map

Applied AI & Information Retrieval

Refugee Policy Navigator
Evidence-grounded RAG system for U.S. refugee-policy research using hybrid retrieval, embeddings, citations, temporal source handling, abstention logic, and automated evaluation.

Live application

U.S. Immigration Policy Intelligence
Federal regulatory intelligence platform using PostgreSQL, SQL, NLP, semantic embeddings, clustering, automated Federal Register ingestion, and FastAPI search.

Live application

Technical Toolkit

Languages & Data: Python · SQL · PostgreSQL · SQLite · pandas · NumPy

Statistics & Modeling: complex surveys · multiple imputation · regression · machine learning · causal inference · forecasting · longitudinal analysis

Decision Science: optimization · scenario analysis · capacity planning · operational KPIs

Geospatial: GeoJSON · Leaflet · Folium · GTFS · transit-network analysis

Applied AI: RAG · NLP · semantic search · embeddings · hybrid retrieval · evaluation

Engineering: FastAPI · Docker · GitHub Actions · automated testing · reproducible pipelines

Portfolio

fernandoverdugo.pro/portfolio

The projects in this portfolio are designed as reproducible analytical systems rather than isolated notebooks. Repositories include source documentation, methodological assumptions, validation, tests, and—where useful—deployed interactive applications.

Pinned Loading

  1. nhis-healthcare-access-analysis nhis-healthcare-access-analysis Public

    Survey-weighted inference and machine-learning analysis of cost-related delayed medical care using the 2025 National Health Interview Survey.

    Jupyter Notebook

  2. sipp-economic-stability-analysis sipp-economic-stability-analysis Public

    Longitudinal analysis of U.S. Census SIPP data measuring poverty transitions and modeling prospective poverty entry and exit with survey-weighted inference and validation.

    Python 1

  3. us-immigration-policy-intelligence us-immigration-policy-intelligence Public

    API-driven SQL, NLP, and semantic-search platform for analyzing U.S. federal immigration rulemaking.

    Python 1

  4. texas-rma-longitudinal-geospatial-analysis texas-rma-longitudinal-geospatial-analysis Public

    Python longitudinal and geospatial analysis of synthetic Refugee Medical Assistance enrollment patterns across Texas, FY2019–FY2024.

    Jupyter Notebook

  5. texas-afghan-support-geospatial-analytics texas-afghan-support-geospatial-analytics Public

    Python geospatial analytics project exploring program participation, rental assistance, and service engagement across Texas ZIP codes.

    Jupyter Notebook

  6. texas-refugee-service-access-atlas texas-refugee-service-access-atlas Public

    Geospatial and transit-network analysis of refugee service accessibility, mobility gaps, and service deserts in Dallas–Fort Worth.

    Python