Nobody has cracked Beale ciphers B1 and B3, so we modelled how you'd fake one instead. Both match the forgery within 1σ, and real English fits worse. Bayes factors for hoax: roughly 8 to 1,800 (B1) and 150 to 5,400 (B3).
cryptography cryptanalysis cipher statistical-analysis monte-carlo-simulation bayesian-statistics treasure-hunt forensic-analysis classical-cipher hoax classical-cryptography benfords-law bayes-factor codebreaking book-cipher historical-ciphers beale-ciphers beale-cipher declaration-of-independence beale-treasure
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Updated
Nov 8, 2026 - Python